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AB 1776 Threatens More Than $356 Billion In California Small Business Sales Over the Next Five Years

Legislation like AB 1776, AICOA, and abuse-of-dominance proposals that discourage digital platforms from integrating products and services can significantly harm the small businesses that rely on those tools to compete and grow.

AB 1776 · the COMPETE Act

$356 billion

at risk in California small business sales over the next five years

Year 1
$71B
Year 2
$142B
Year 3
$214B
Year 4
$285B
Year 5
$356B

Cumulative California small business sales at risk, based on $71 billion annually.

California Small Businesses Depend on Integrated Platform Services

Google Business
Profile

Helps local businesses get discovered by nearby customers

Fulfillment
by Amazon

Gives small businesses affordable nationwide warehousing, shipping, returns, and customer service

Google Ads
& Meta Ads

Enables entrepreneurs to reach new customers and compete with much larger businesses

Methodology

California represents 11.88% of all U.S. small businesses (4.3 million of 36.2 million nationwide). The estimates above apply California's share of U.S. small businesses to Professor John T. Scott's published national economic analysis of legislation that discourages integrated platform services.

These figures are an analytical application of Professor Scott's methodology and are not estimates published by Professor Scott or the Data Catalyst Institute.

Sources

John T. Scott, Estimates of Harm to Small Business Retailers from Antitrust Legislation. Directed at Large Digital Platforms (Data Catalyst Institute, 2022)
U.S. Small Business Administration, California Small Business Profile (2025)
U.S. Small Business Administration, Frequently Asked Questions About Small Business (2026).

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